InfoSAWIT, JAKARTA – Coordinator of Climate Variability of Geophysics, Climatology, and Meteorology Agency (GCMA), Supari forecasted that El Niño would come to an end in April 2024 by the indication, La Nina would be happening in the second semester this year. “2024 shows the early indication that La Nina would be happening. This is known from the decreasing sea surface – temperature in the Pacific Ocean in central and eastern regions,” he said.

Supari also told that in the past decade, Indonesia always faced extreme climate both El Nino, La Nina and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Only in 2016, when the climate in the globe was neutral, Indonesia had a normal dry season.

If La Nina really happens in 2024, the dry season would be much wet than it was. Though this will deliver the good for paddy plantations for having enough water, this would not be good for horticultural plantations, such as, vegetables, and pepper for having too much water.

Supari emphasized it needs to understand extreme climate information to mitigate the risks and the impacts. He thought, the government should escalate climate literation in the society, namely the farmers that are dominated by young generations. “We would tell information for every farmer to minimize extreme climate risk impacts by escalating our understanding about information technology,” he said, as in the official statement to InfoSAWIT, Sunday (10/3/2024).

 Vice Chair Working Group I, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and a professor in meteorology and climatology of National Innovation and Research Agency, Prof. Edvin Aldrian said that Indonesia has big profits for laying on the path of Pacific Ocean to Hinda Ocean or known as ‘throughflow’. This is the sea signal which is very important to be used in El Nino prediction for the next six months with the help of sea modeling.

“By taking advantages on signal in the sea, Indonesia would be able to predict when ENSO (sea surface temperature anomaly in Pacific Ocean) would come both El Nino and La Nina. This can be used to prepare food plantations and anticipate the impacts of dry season, namely to know the danger of fire in the forests and areas,” he said. (T2)